Financial Times, November 18, 1996, pp. 1, 20. Electronic money threat to central banks By George Graham in London Central banks could lose billions of dollars of revenue if consumers start to jettison the traditional banknote in favour of electronic money, economists from the Bank for International Settlements have warned. A report issued today by the BIS, the central bankers' central bank. says that innovations such as "electronic purses" loaded on to a smartcard or "digital cash" used for making payments over the Internet could erode central banks' income from issuing banknotes. Note issue is a significant source of revenue for many central banks because the private sector must in effect make interest-free deposits to obtain the notes. The BIS cites studies estimating the loss of this "seigniorage" at more than $17bn for its 11 member countries if prepaid cards were to eliminate all banknotes below $25 in value although not all seigniorage comes to central banks. Central banks could "consider issuing e-money value themselves" as a way of offsetting the lost income, the Basle-based BIS says. Alternatively, it suggests, they could increase mandatory reserve requirements, although this would run counter to the general trend towards lower minimum reserves. The BIS report appeared as MasterCard, one of the world's two leading payment card consortia, prepared to expand its efforts to develop a widely accepted electronic purse by taking control of Mondex, a UK-developed smart card. MasterCard will announce today that it is taking a 51 per cent stake in Mondex, which is currently on trial in Swindon in the west of England and in Hong Kong. Widespread substitution of e-money for cash could make it more difficult for central banks - by reducing their ability to control the money supply - to affect interest rates. But the BIS says that this is unlikely to happen. Although central bankers are nervous about the implications of widespread use of e-money, they are anxious not to be viewed as Luddites. The BIS report warns that if central banks chose to issue their own e-money, they "could limit competition or reduce incentives to innovate". While curbs are not usually imposed on the issue of single- purpose prepaid smartcards. multipurpose electronic purses, which can be used as money in a variety of places, raise different questions. Some central bankers view them as comparable to deposit accounts, which in most countries can be managed only by authorised banks. Others see them as equivalent to travellers' cheques, on which few restrictions are imposed. The BIS report warns that any decision will involve a trade-off: "If issuance of e-money is limited to banks, the regulatory framework already in place can be extended to cover the new products, but competition and innovation might be more limited." [End]